Updated Saturday Dec. 20

2025 NBA Team Win Projections

NBA team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

RankingsSoSWinsPlayoffsChamps
TEAM GURU
RANK		 PRESEASON
PROJECTION		 CURRENT
PROJECTION		 CHANGE
1
ThunderOKC25-3
1st 59.8 68.7
+ 8.9
2
NuggetsDEN20-6
2nd 51.5 58.1
+ 6.6
3
RocketsHOU16-8
3rd 50.9 56.9
+ 6
4
KnicksNY19-8
4th 51.5 55.6
+ 4.1
5
PistonsDET21-6
6th 44.3 54.4
+ 10.1
6
SpursSA20-7
5th 42.4 53.4
+ 11
7
LakersLAL19-7
10th 48.0 50.8
+ 2.8
8
MagicORL15-12
9th 48.8 50.0
+ 1.2
9
TimberwolvesMIN18-10
7th 47.9 49.3
+ 1.4
10
CelticsBOS16-11
8th 40.7 48.9
+ 8.2
11
HeatMIA15-13
13th 37.8 45.5
+ 7.7
12
76ersPHI15-11
14th 43.7 45.1
+ 1.4
13
CavaliersCLE15-14
12th 55.8 44.9
- 10.9
14
RaptorsTOR17-11
15th 38.3 44.4
+ 6.1
15
WarriorsGS13-15
11th 46.4 44.3
- 2.1
16
HawksATL15-14
18th 47.5 42.7
- 4.8
17
SunsPHX15-12
16th 32.0 41.5
+ 9.5
18
GrizzliesMEM13-14
17th 41.6 41.3
- 0.3
19
Trail BlazersPOR11-16
19th 34.4 35.8
+ 1.4
20
MavericksDAL11-17
20th 41.3 34.1
- 7.2
21
BucksMIL11-17
23rd 43.3 33.9
- 9.4
22
BullsCHI12-15
22nd 32.8 32.9
+ 0.1
23
ClippersLAC6-21
21st 48.7 32.0
- 16.7
24
HornetsCHA9-18
24th 28.5 29.2
+ 0.7
25
JazzUTAH10-16
28th 21.7 25.1
+ 3.4
26
PelicansNO6-22
25th 32.2 24.9
- 7.3
27
KingsSAC6-21
26th 35.6 24.7
- 10.9
28
PacersIND6-21
27th 38.0 23.9
- 14.1
29
NetsBKN7-19
29th 23.0 23.4
+ 0.4
30
WizardsWSH4-21
30th 22.5 15.1
- 7.4

How We Calculate: Our NBA win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from Team Rankings and ESPN. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.