Updated Friday Dec. 19

2025 NFL Playoff Odds

NFL team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
SeahawksSEA12-3
2nd 35.6% >99%
+ 63.4%
2
PatriotsNE11-3
13th 36.1% >99%
+ 62.9%
3
BroncosDEN12-2
8th 51.2% >99%
+ 47.8%
4
RamsLAR11-4
1st 55.6% >99%
+ 43.4%
5
EaglesPHI9-5
6th 77.8% >99%
+ 21.2%
6
BillsBUF10-4
5th 84.3% >99%
+ 14.7%
7
JaguarsJAX10-4
9th 39.1% 97.7%
+ 58.6%
8
49ersSF10-4
10th 64.5% 96.1%
+ 31.6%
9
TexansHOU9-5
3rd 56.1% 93.9%
+ 37.8%
10
ChargersLAC10-4
14th 72.5% 91.9%
+ 19.4%
11
PackersGB9-4-1
7th 57.4% 89.4%
+ 32%
12
BuccaneersTB7-7
18th 60.3% 77.0%
+ 16.7%
13
BearsCHI10-4
15th 34.3% 76.5%
+ 42.2%
14
SteelersPIT8-6
17th 41.1% 64.2%
+ 23.1%
15
LionsDET8-6
4th 63.8% 38.2%
- 25.6%
16
RavensBAL7-7
12th 80.4% 36.5%
- 43.9%
17
PanthersCAR7-7
24th 23.1% 23.0%
- 0.1%
18
ColtsIND8-6
16th 30.6% 16.5%
- 14.1%
19
BrownsCLE3-11
29th 8.1% <1%
- 7.1%
20
GiantsNYG2-12
27th 9.6% <1%
- 8.6%
21
SaintsNO4-10
28th 13.9% <1%
- 12.9%
22
JetsNYJ3-11
32nd 15.3% <1%
- 14.3%
23
TitansTEN2-12
31st 17.1% <1%
- 16.1%
24
RaidersOAK2-12
30th 21.3% <1%
- 20.3%
25
DolphinsMIA6-8
26th 27.8% <1%
- 26.8%
26
CowboysDAL6-7-1
20th 29.3% <1%
- 28.3%
27
CardinalsARI3-11
25th 38.9% <1%
- 37.9%
28
FalconsATL5-9
23rd 40.4% <1%
- 39.4%
29
VikingsMIN6-8
19th 43.9% <1%
- 42.9%
30
CommandersWSH4-10
22nd 52.1% <1%
- 51.1%
31
BengalsCIN4-10
21st 56.3% <1%
- 55.3%
32
ChiefsKC6-8
11th 63.1% <1%
- 62.1%

How We Calculate: Our NFL playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, ESPN and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.