Updated Friday Aug. 23

2019 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
BravesATL77-52
6th 40.3% >99%
+ 58.7%
2
DodgersLAD85-44
1st 81.1% >99%
+ 17.9%
3
YankeesNYY83-46
3rd 87.9% >99%
+ 11.1%
4
AstrosHOU82-47
2nd 89.5% >99%
+ 9.5%
5
TwinsMIN77-50
5th 32.4% 96.1%
+ 63.7%
6
NationalsWSH70-57
4th 50.3% 85.0%
+ 34.7%
7
AthleticsOAK74-53
8th 30.7% 72.6%
+ 41.9%
8
CubsCHC69-58
9th 46.1% 71.0%
+ 24.9%
9
RaysTB75-54
7th 40.8% 64.8%
+ 24%
10
IndiansCLE74-54
10th 81.1% 64.5%
- 16.6%
11
CardinalsSTL68-58
13th 42.3% 59.9%
+ 17.6%
12
MetsNYM67-60
12th 37.2% 37.0%
- 0.2%
13
PhilliesPHI66-60
17th 54.2% 24.3%
- 29.9%
14
BrewersMIL65-62
15th 49.6% 16.7%
- 32.9%
15
DiamondbacksARI64-64
14th 14.4% 4.4%
- 10%
16
Red SoxBOS68-61
11th 80.2% 2.0%
- 78.2%
17
RedsCIN60-66
16th 15.2% 1.7%
- 13.5%
18
OriolesBAL41-87
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
19
MarlinsMIA45-81
27th <1% <1%
0.0%
20
RoyalsKC45-83
28th 2.9% <1%
- 1.9%
21
TigersDET38-87
30th 3.2% <1%
- 2.2%
22
RangersTEX63-66
22nd 4.0% <1%
- 3%
23
GiantsSF63-65
18th 4.7% <1%
- 3.7%
24
White SoxCHW58-69
26th 5.5% <1%
- 4.5%
25
Blue JaysTOR52-78
24th 5.7% <1%
- 4.7%
26
MarinersSEA54-74
23rd 13.9% <1%
- 12.9%
27
PadresSD59-67
19th 14.1% <1%
- 13.1%
28
PiratesPIT52-75
25th 17.0% <1%
- 16%
29
AngelsLAA63-67
20th 22.3% <1%
- 21.3%
30
RockiesCOL58-70
21st 32.2% <1%
- 31.2%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.