Updated Tuesday Sep. 16
2025 MLB World Series Odds
MLB team World Series odds tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON CHANCE |
CURRENT CHANCE |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
BrewersMIL91-59
|
1st | 3.8% | 21.8% | + 18% |
| 2 |
PhilliesPHI90-61
|
2nd | 4.6% | 17.8% | + 13.2% |
| 3 |
Blue JaysTOR88-62
|
6th | 1.7% | 17.4% | + 15.7% |
| 4 |
DodgersLAD84-66
|
4th | 20.0% | 12.5% | - 7.5% |
| 5 |
TigersDET85-65
|
8th | 2.9% | 10.6% | + 7.7% |
| 6 |
YankeesNYY83-67
|
3rd | 5.3% | 10.0% | + 4.7% |
| 7 |
MarinersSEA82-68
|
11th | 4.3% | 9.7% | + 5.4% |
| 8 |
Red SoxBOS82-68
|
7th | 3.7% | 8.9% | + 5.2% |
| 9 |
CubsCHC86-64
|
5th | 3.7% | 6.2% | + 2.5% |
| 10 |
PadresSD82-68
|
10th | 3.7% | 5.6% | + 1.9% |
| 11 |
AstrosHOU82-69
|
13th | 6.4% | 4.5% | - 1.9% |
| 12 |
MetsNYM77-73
|
12th | 6.5% | 4.2% | - 2.3% |
| 13 |
RangersTEX79-72
|
9th | 4.0% | 2.3% | - 1.7% |
| 14 |
AthleticsOAK70-80
|
23rd | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 15 |
AngelsLAA69-81
|
25th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 16 |
PiratesPIT65-86
|
26th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 17 |
MarlinsMIA70-80
|
27th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 18 |
NationalsWSH62-88
|
28th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 19 |
White SoxCHW57-94
|
29th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 20 |
CardinalsSTL73-78
|
22nd | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 21 |
RockiesCOL41-109
|
30th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 22 |
RedsCIN75-75
|
18th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 23 |
GiantsSF75-75
|
17th | 1.5% | <1% | - 0.5% |
| 24 |
RaysTB73-77
|
15th | 1.8% | <1% | - 0.8% |
| 25 |
GuardiansCLE78-71
|
16th | 1.8% | <1% | - 0.8% |
| 26 |
RoyalsKC75-75
|
19th | 2.3% | <1% | - 1.3% |
| 27 |
TwinsMIN66-84
|
24th | 2.7% | <1% | - 1.7% |
| 28 |
OriolesBAL70-80
|
21st | 3.5% | <1% | - 2.5% |
| 29 |
DiamondbacksARI76-75
|
14th | 4.6% | <1% | - 3.6% |
| 30 |
BravesATL67-83
|
20th | 10.2% | <1% | - 9.2% |
How We Calculate: Our World Series champion probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current World Series champion probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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