Updated Tuesday Sep. 21

2021 NFL Team Win Projections

NFL team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
BuccaneersTB2-0
1st 11.1 12.0
+ 0.9
2
RamsLAR2-0
2nd 9.6 11.2
+ 1.6
3
BillsBUF1-1
4th 10.3 11.1
+ 0.8
4
ChiefsKC1-1
3rd 11.1 10.9
- 0.2
5
49ersSF2-0
5th 9.6 10.8
+ 1.2
6
CardinalsARI2-0
7th 8.5 10.4
+ 1.9
7
RavensBAL1-1
6th 10.6 10.4
- 0.2
8
BroncosDEN2-0
11th 8.0 9.9
+ 1.9
9
SaintsNO1-1
8th 9.4 9.8
+ 0.4
10
PanthersCAR2-0
13th 7.7 9.6
+ 1.9
11
RaidersOAK2-0
16th 7.1 9.5
+ 2.4
12
PatriotsNE1-1
15th 8.8 9.3
+ 0.5
13
SeahawksSEA1-1
9th 9.2 9.3
+ 0.1
14
BrownsCLE1-1
10th 9.3 9.2
- 0.1
15
CowboysDAL1-1
12th 8.5 9.0
+ 0.5
16
PackersGB1-1
14th 10.1 8.9
- 1.2
17
SteelersPIT1-1
17th 8.6 8.7
+ 0.1
18
TitansTEN1-1
21st 9.1 8.6
- 0.5
19
EaglesPHI1-1
20th 7.5 8.5
+ 1
20
ChargersLAC1-1
18th 8.7 8.4
- 0.3
21
DolphinsMIA1-1
24th 8.8 7.7
- 1.1
22
VikingsMIN0-2
19th 8.5 7.5
- 1
23
BengalsCIN1-1
26th 6.8 7.3
+ 0.5
24
WashingtonWSH1-1
22nd 8.1 7.3
- 0.8
25
ColtsIND0-2
23rd 8.9 7.2
- 1.7
26
BearsCHI1-1
25th 7.6 7.0
- 0.6
27
TexansHOU1-1
29th 5.7 6.5
+ 0.8
28
GiantsNYG0-2
27th 7.3 5.6
- 1.7
29
FalconsATL0-2
28th 7.9 5.5
- 2.4
30
JetsNYJ0-2
30th 6.2 4.9
- 1.3
31
JaguarsJAX0-2
32nd 6.5 4.8
- 1.7
32
LionsDET0-2
31st 5.8 4.6
- 1.2

How We Calculate: Our NFL win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, ESPN, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.