Updated Wednesday Feb. 4
2026 NBA Team Win Projections
NBA team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON PROJECTION |
CURRENT PROJECTION |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ThunderOKC40-11
|
1st | 59.8 | 64.3 |
+ 4.5
|
| 2 |
PistonsDET37-12
|
2nd | 44.3 | 58.0 |
+ 13.7
|
| 3 |
RocketsHOU31-17
|
3rd | 50.9 | 53.3 |
+ 2.4
|
| 4 |
SpursSA33-16
|
6th | 42.4 | 52.8 |
+ 10.4
|
| 5 |
KnicksNY32-18
|
4th | 51.5 | 52.0 |
+ 0.5
|
| 6 |
CelticsBOS32-18
|
5th | 40.7 | 51.3 |
+ 10.6
|
| 7 |
NuggetsDEN33-18
|
7th | 51.5 | 51.3 |
- 0.2
|
| 8 |
TimberwolvesMIN31-20
|
8th | 47.9 | 49.7 |
+ 1.8
|
| 9 |
CavaliersCLE30-21
|
9th | 55.8 | 49.7 |
- 6.1
|
| 10 |
SunsPHX31-20
|
10th | 32.0 | 47.9 |
+ 15.9
|
| 11 |
LakersLAL30-19
|
14th | 48.0 | 46.6 |
- 1.4
|
| 12 |
76ersPHI29-21
|
12th | 43.7 | 45.7 |
+ 2
|
| 13 |
RaptorsTOR30-21
|
16th | 38.3 | 45.6 |
+ 7.3
|
| 14 |
HeatMIA27-25
|
13th | 37.8 | 43.9 |
+ 6.1
|
| 15 |
WarriorsGS27-24
|
11th | 46.4 | 43.8 |
- 2.6
|
| 16 |
MagicORL25-24
|
17th | 48.8 | 42.9 |
- 5.9
|
| 17 |
HawksATL25-27
|
18th | 47.5 | 41.9 |
- 5.6
|
| 18 |
ClippersLAC23-26
|
15th | 48.7 | 40.6 |
- 8.1
|
| 19 |
HornetsCHA23-28
|
19th | 28.5 | 37.9 |
+ 9.4
|
| 20 |
Trail BlazersPOR23-28
|
20th | 34.4 | 37.5 |
+ 3.1
|
| 21 |
GrizzliesMEM19-29
|
21st | 41.6 | 35.6 |
- 6
|
| 22 |
BullsCHI24-27
|
23rd | 32.8 | 35.1 |
+ 2.3
|
| 23 |
BucksMIL19-29
|
24th | 43.3 | 33.1 |
- 10.2
|
| 24 |
MavericksDAL19-31
|
22nd | 41.3 | 32.3 |
- 9
|
| 25 |
JazzUTAH16-35
|
28th | 21.7 | 24.4 |
+ 2.7
|
| 26 |
PelicansNO13-39
|
25th | 32.2 | 24.2 |
- 8
|
| 27 |
PacersIND13-38
|
26th | 38.0 | 24.0 |
- 14
|
| 28 |
NetsBKN13-36
|
29th | 23.0 | 22.6 |
- 0.4
|
| 29 |
KingsSAC12-39
|
27th | 35.6 | 22.3 |
- 13.3
|
| 30 |
WizardsWSH13-36
|
30th | 22.5 | 20.4 |
- 2.1
|
How We Calculate: Our NBA win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from Team Rankings and ESPN. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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