Updated Wednesday Jun. 7

2023 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

RankingsSoSWinsPlayoffsChamps
TEAM GURU
RANK		 PRESEASON
PROJECTION		 CURRENT
PROJECTION		 CHANGE
1
RaysTB44-19
1st 86.2 102.6
+ 16.4
2
BravesATL36-24
2nd 91.6 96.2
+ 4.6
3
DodgersLAD35-26
3rd 94.2 96.1
+ 1.9
4
AstrosHOU36-25
6th 93.9 95.8
+ 1.9
5
YankeesNYY36-26
5th 93.4 95.1
+ 1.7
6
RangersTEX40-20
4th 79.1 94.3
+ 15.2
7
Blue JaysTOR34-28
7th 88.6 90.4
+ 1.8
8
TwinsMIN31-30
8th 84.3 86.0
+ 1.7
9
BrewersMIL33-28
12th 83.7 85.4
+ 1.7
10
OriolesBAL37-23
16th 76.5 85.1
+ 8.6
11
PadresSD28-33
9th 91.4 83.9
- 7.5
12
DiamondbacksARI36-25
14th 75.2 83.5
+ 8.3
13
MetsNYM30-31
13th 92.2 83.3
- 8.9
14
MarinersSEA30-30
18th 86.3 82.6
- 3.7
15
GiantsSF30-30
11th 80.8 82.2
+ 1.4
16
AngelsLAA32-30
10th 81.7 82.2
+ 0.5
17
PhilliesPHI29-32
15th 88.2 82.2
- 6
18
Red SoxBOS31-30
17th 78.6 81.6
+ 3
19
MarlinsMIA34-28
19th 76.6 80.3
+ 3.7
20
GuardiansCLE27-33
20th 86.3 78.3
- 8
21
CardinalsSTL25-37
23rd 86.6 77.7
- 8.9
22
PiratesPIT32-28
22nd 69.2 76.7
+ 7.5
23
White SoxCHW27-35
25th 82.5 76.1
- 6.4
24
CubsCHC26-34
21st 77.0 76.0
- 1
25
RedsCIN28-33
24th 69.2 71.5
+ 2.3
26
TigersDET26-33
26th 70.4 69.6
- 0.8
27
NationalsWSH25-35
27th 65.3 65.8
+ 0.5
28
RockiesCOL26-36
28th 67.9 64.8
- 3.1
29
RoyalsKC18-43
29th 68.2 57.4
- 10.8
30
AthleticsOAK13-50
30th 64.4 47.2
- 17.2

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.