Updated Monday Oct. 4

2021 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
GiantsSF107-55
4th 75.5 107.0
+ 31.5
2
DodgersLAD106-56
1st 103.8 106.0
+ 2.2
3
RaysTB100-62
2nd 88.0 100.0
+ 12
4
BrewersMIL95-67
9th 81.2 95.0
+ 13.8
5
AstrosHOU95-67
3rd 90.1 95.0
+ 4.9
6
White SoxCHW93-69
6th 91.3 93.0
+ 1.7
7
Red SoxBOS92-70
10th 77.0 92.0
+ 15
8
YankeesNYY92-70
8th 97.9 92.0
- 5.9
9
Blue JaysTOR91-71
5th 85.5 91.0
+ 5.5
10
MarinersSEA90-72
17th 70.4 90.0
+ 19.6
11
CardinalsSTL90-72
13th 83.8 90.0
+ 6.2
12
BravesATL88-73
7th 91.0 88.0
- 3
13
AthleticsOAK86-76
11th 87.5 86.0
- 1.5
14
RedsCIN83-79
14th 82.1 83.0
+ 0.9
15
PhilliesPHI82-80
15th 80.9 82.0
+ 1.1
16
IndiansCLE80-82
16th 83.7 80.0
- 3.7
17
PadresSD79-83
12th 95.1 79.0
- 16.1
18
TigersDET77-85
20th 63.6 77.0
+ 13.4
19
AngelsLAA77-85
19th 83.2 77.0
- 6.2
20
MetsNYM77-85
18th 90.4 77.0
- 13.4
21
RockiesCOL74-87
23rd 64.4 74.0
+ 9.6
22
RoyalsKC74-88
25th 71.9 74.0
+ 2.1
23
TwinsMIN73-89
22nd 89.5 73.0
- 16.5
24
CubsCHC71-91
26th 81.2 71.0
- 10.2
25
MarlinsMIA67-95
24th 65.7 67.0
+ 1.3
26
NationalsWSH65-97
21st 83.4 65.0
- 18.4
27
PiratesPIT61-101
29th 62.4 61.0
- 1.4
28
RangersTEX60-102
27th 65.9 60.0
- 5.9
29
OriolesBAL52-110
30th 67.4 52.0
- 15.4
30
DiamondbacksARI52-110
28th 75.6 52.0
- 23.6

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.