Updated Monday Sep. 16
2024 MLB Team Win Projections
MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON PROJECTION |
CURRENT PROJECTION |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PhilliesPHI90-59
|
3rd | 91.4 | 97.6 |
+ 6.2
|
| 2 |
DodgersLAD88-61
|
1st | 102.0 | 97.0 |
- 5
|
| 3 |
YankeesNYY87-63
|
2nd | 93.3 | 94.5 |
+ 1.2
|
| 4 |
BrewersMIL86-63
|
6th | 75.2 | 93.4 |
+ 18.2
|
| 5 |
GuardiansCLE86-64
|
13th | 76.5 | 92.5 |
+ 16
|
| 6 |
PadresSD85-65
|
5th | 82.2 | 92.1 |
+ 9.9
|
| 7 |
OriolesBAL84-66
|
4th | 90.6 | 90.7 |
+ 0.1
|
| 8 |
DiamondbacksARI83-66
|
10th | 83.5 | 90.5 |
+ 7
|
| 9 |
AstrosHOU81-68
|
8th | 95.5 | 88.8 |
- 6.7
|
| 10 |
BravesATL81-68
|
7th | 99.8 | 88.6 |
- 11.2
|
| 11 |
RoyalsKC82-68
|
15th | 69.5 | 88.5 |
+ 19
|
| 12 |
MetsNYM81-68
|
9th | 82.8 | 87.9 |
+ 5.1
|
| 13 |
TwinsMIN79-70
|
12th | 88.8 | 86.3 |
- 2.5
|
| 14 |
TigersDET77-73
|
17th | 75.9 | 84.0 |
+ 8.1
|
| 15 |
MarinersSEA77-73
|
11th | 87.3 | 84.0 |
- 3.3
|
| 16 |
CubsCHC76-73
|
14th | 84.0 | 83.8 |
- 0.2
|
| 17 |
Red SoxBOS75-75
|
16th | 78.0 | 81.4 |
+ 3.4
|
| 18 |
CardinalsSTL74-75
|
20th | 84.4 | 81.3 |
- 3.1
|
| 19 |
RaysTB73-77
|
22nd | 87.2 | 79.5 |
- 7.7
|
| 20 |
RedsCIN73-78
|
18th | 79.5 | 79.0 |
- 0.5
|
| 21 |
Blue JaysTOR72-78
|
19th | 87.4 | 78.7 |
- 8.7
|
| 22 |
GiantsSF72-78
|
21st | 79.1 | 78.0 |
- 1.1
|
| 23 |
RangersTEX71-79
|
23rd | 92.1 | 77.3 |
- 14.8
|
| 24 |
PiratesPIT71-78
|
24th | 70.0 | 76.9 |
+ 6.9
|
| 25 |
NationalsWSH68-81
|
25th | 65.9 | 73.7 |
+ 7.8
|
| 26 |
AthleticsOAK65-85
|
26th | 59.7 | 70.3 |
+ 10.6
|
| 27 |
AngelsLAA60-89
|
27th | 68.9 | 66.9 |
- 2
|
| 28 |
RockiesCOL57-93
|
29th | 60.3 | 61.2 |
+ 0.9
|
| 29 |
MarlinsMIA55-95
|
28th | 73.9 | 59.9 |
- 14
|
| 30 |
White SoxCHW35-115
|
30th | 64.6 | 39.8 |
- 24.8
|
How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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