Updated Monday Sep. 25

2023 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

RankingsSoSWinsPlayoffsChamps
TEAM GURU
RANK		 PRESEASON
PROJECTION		 CURRENT
PROJECTION		 CHANGE
1
BravesATL100-56
1st 91.6 103.9
+ 12.3
2
DodgersLAD96-59
2nd 94.2 100.7
+ 6.5
3
OriolesBAL97-59
10th 76.5 100.6
+ 24.1
4
RaysTB95-62
3rd 86.2 97.8
+ 11.6
5
BrewersMIL88-68
12th 83.7 91.2
+ 7.5
6
RangersTEX87-68
8th 79.1 90.8
+ 11.7
7
PhilliesPHI87-69
4th 88.2 90.6
+ 2.4
8
Blue JaysTOR87-69
7th 88.6 90.0
+ 1.4
9
AstrosHOU85-71
5th 93.9 88.2
- 5.7
10
MarinersSEA84-71
6th 86.3 87.6
+ 1.3
11
TwinsMIN83-73
11th 84.3 87.2
+ 2.9
12
DiamondbacksARI82-73
18th 75.2 85.2
+ 10
13
CubsCHC82-74
14th 77.0 84.8
+ 7.8
14
MarlinsMIA81-75
17th 76.6 84.0
+ 7.4
15
RedsCIN80-77
22nd 69.2 82.2
+ 13
16
YankeesNYY78-77
13th 93.4 81.9
- 11.5
17
PadresSD77-79
9th 91.4 80.6
- 10.8
18
GiantsSF77-79
19th 80.8 79.4
- 1.4
19
Red SoxBOS76-80
16th 78.6 78.5
- 0.1
20
GuardiansCLE74-83
20th 86.3 76.9
- 9.4
21
PiratesPIT74-82
24th 69.2 76.3
+ 7.1
22
TigersDET73-83
25th 70.4 75.9
+ 5.5
23
MetsNYM71-85
15th 92.2 74.1
- 18.1
24
AngelsLAA70-86
21st 81.7 73.1
- 8.6
25
CardinalsSTL68-88
23rd 86.6 70.9
- 15.7
26
NationalsWSH69-88
27th 65.3 70.5
+ 5.2
27
White SoxCHW60-96
26th 82.5 62.4
- 20.1
28
RockiesCOL56-99
29th 67.9 58.0
- 9.9
29
RoyalsKC54-102
28th 68.2 56.4
- 11.8
30
AthleticsOAK48-108
30th 64.4 50.1
- 14.3

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.