Updated Saturday Jul. 24

2021 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD59-40
1st 103.8 98.6
- 5.2
2
AstrosHOU59-39
2nd 90.1 98.0
+ 7.9
3
GiantsSF61-36
5th 75.5 96.7
+ 21.2
4
RaysTB59-39
4th 88.0 95.6
+ 7.6
5
White SoxCHW58-39
7th 91.3 95.5
+ 4.2
6
PadresSD58-42
3rd 95.1 93.8
- 1.3
7
Red SoxBOS60-38
9th 77.0 92.8
+ 15.8
8
BrewersMIL57-41
11th 81.2 91.3
+ 10.1
9
AthleticsOAK56-43
12th 87.5 89.5
+ 2
10
YankeesNYY50-46
8th 97.9 87.0
- 10.9
11
Blue JaysTOR48-45
6th 85.5 86.8
+ 1.3
12
MetsNYM51-43
10th 90.4 86.7
- 3.7
13
RedsCIN50-47
16th 82.1 83.2
+ 1.1
14
PhilliesPHI48-48
14th 80.9 82.1
+ 1.2
15
BravesATL47-49
13th 91.0 81.7
- 9.3
16
MarinersSEA52-46
22nd 70.4 80.6
+ 10.2
17
CubsCHC48-50
18th 81.2 80.6
- 0.6
18
IndiansCLE48-47
19th 83.7 80.5
- 3.2
19
CardinalsSTL49-49
20th 83.8 80.1
- 3.7
20
AngelsLAA47-49
17th 83.2 79.1
- 4.1
21
NationalsWSH45-51
15th 83.4 78.7
- 4.7
22
TigersDET47-52
24th 63.6 74.2
+ 10.6
23
TwinsMIN42-56
23rd 89.5 72.4
- 17.1
24
MarlinsMIA41-57
21st 65.7 69.8
+ 4.1
25
RockiesCOL43-54
25th 64.4 68.3
+ 3.9
26
RoyalsKC40-55
26th 71.9 67.3
- 4.6
27
PiratesPIT37-60
29th 62.4 62.3
- 0.1
28
RangersTEX35-63
27th 65.9 61.2
- 4.7
29
OriolesBAL32-64
30th 67.4 57.8
- 9.6
30
DiamondbacksARI30-69
28th 75.6 54.9
- 20.7

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.